The Real McCoy??? S/O to RenzReport

Posted: August 21, 2011 by scoopbald in NFL

The QB position is the hardest position to evaluate in the NFL.  Take for example Terry Bradshaw; on one hand he won four Super Bowls and is enshrined in the NFL Hall of Fame.  Yet on the other hand he has a career passer rating of 70.9 and had a passer rating of 0.0 a NFL record, three different times.   Is he a great QB because he won, or is he average because of his career numbers?  I bring this up because fellow mancaver, Renz Report asked me whether or not Colt McCoy is the QB of the future for my beloved Cleveland Browns.  While at times last year McCoy looked like the answer (see Cleveland vs. New England) there were times where it looked as if the curse of Tim Couch will haunt Clevelanders  forever (see Cleveland vs. Pittsburgh). 

While reviews on McCoy have been mixed, analysts have gushed over the performance of NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Sam Bradford.  Many believe that Bradford is the cream of the 2010 draft class.  I for one am not sold.  I cant say whether or not Bradford will pan out to be a better QB than McCoy but I can say that if last year is any indication, the two aren’t too far apart in terms of upside.  Lets take a look at the numbers shall we.

  Sam Bradford Colt McCoy
QB Rating

76.5

74.5

Completions

354

135

Attempts

590

222

Completion %

60%

60.80%

Yards

3512

1576

Yds/Att

6

7.1

Yds/Completion

9.9

11.7

Yds/Game

219.95

197

Touchdowns

18

6

Interceptions

15

9

 

At first glance it seems that Bradford convincingly outperformed McCoy last year.  However there are several factors that play into and in my opinion skew that perception.

  1.  Bradford was the starter from day one and started all 16 games.  Naturally this is reflected in the numbers i.e. yards, completions, touchdowns etc.  More importantly, Bradford had the advantage of working with the 1st team offense all off-season as well as develop chemistry with his receivers.  They say in game experience is the only experience and as it stands Bradford has twice as much experience as McCoy.  This can be seen in the fact that Bradford posted two of his top three performances rating wise in his final eight starts.
  2. Bradford was in a more pass intensive offense.  Bradford averaged almost 38 pass attempts per game including five games with more than 40 attempts and one game of more than 50.  McCoy on the other hand only had one game where he attempted more than 40 passes.  However, McCoy averaged more yards per attempt and completion.  Based on the numbers, if McCoy had the opportunity to attempt 590 passes he would have racked up 359 completions and 4200 yards, both projections of course.
  3. Lets be honest, Bradford played in one of, if not the weakest division in the NFL last year so a 9-7 record is not that impressive to me.  Furthermore, when you look at the pass defenses that he faced last year, there is no wonder why analysts think that he took the league by storm last year.  In the 16 games that Bradford started last year, he only faced one opponent whose defense was top 10 as far as QB rating allowed.  In fact, he spent most of his season facing defenses in the bottom third of the league as far as defending the pass.  McCoy on the other hand faced 3 top 10 pass defenses in 8 games, 4 if you count the fact that he played the Steelers twice.  He also faced the Patriots (13th) and the Saints (15th) respectively.  All in all, McCoy’s schedule as a starter was borderline brutal, PIT, NO, NE, NYJ, JAC, CIN, BAL and PIT.  So even though he only posted a 2-6 record as a starter it is clear to see why. 

So Renard, to answer your question, I don’t know if Colt McCoy will be the QB of the future in Cleveland.  Hell, having to face the Steelers or the Ravens four times each season may prove to be too much for anyone.  I do know several things though.  First, McCoy looks a hell of a lot better than the last “franchise” QB that we drafted (F**k yo Couch n***).  Secondly, and maybe most importantly he stacks up pretty well against someone in the league that many analysts project to be a star for years to come.  Third his development will be largely influenced by Cleveland’s ability or lack there of to acquire talent at the receiver position.  While I like Josh Cribbs, you can not win if he is your best option at wideout.  Over the next few years we will find out if Bradford is overrated, or if Colt is the Real McCoy.

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Comments
  1. arayegee says:

    I certainly see the argument in your stats, its sort of hard to argue for or against either of these quarterbacks mainly because what their roles are to their teams differ. The Browns will not ever be an air it out team. Maybe in the next 2-3 years when they establish some actual threats at wideout. McCoys job is to manage the game and make the right throws when necessary. Bradford HAS to sling the rock around. Just like you stated, he’s in a pass happy offense, which will boost his stats, but also make his chances for mistakes even greater. At the end of the day, they both seem pretty even to me.

  2. RenzReport says:

    Give the environment that Cleveland plays in (open air and bad whether conditions) I don’t think statistically McCoy will ever fair off well in comparison with Bradford, who as u stated plays in a weak division, in a pass happy offense and plays in a dome. Still, that doesn’t discredit the potential and poise I see in McCoy. He doesn’t have the big arm to open up the field, but he is able to make plays w/ his feet by expanding the play.

    You’re right in your observation to Cribbs and he and management is aware of that. As skilled of a player he is, he is one-dimensional (not in a bad way) but you can never expect him to catch more 40 passes (even that’s a stretch) in a season.

    But the Browns will be mediocre as long as they live up to their image last season and continue to pound the ball up the middle w/ that guy on the Madden 12 cover…Mr. Peyton Hillis himself!

    • RenzReport says:

      Browns reached agreement with OT Joe Thomas on a 7-year, $84 million extension with roughly $44 million guaranteed.

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